Welcome to the eighth edition of the DraftKings Fantasy PGA Sleepers column. Hopefully you had some success at the Masters. Though it may not be a major, DraftKings still has hundreds of contests to choose from I’m back this week to offer a few daily fantasy golf sleepers. I will try to weave in players from a few pricing tiers – this won’t be a column on the five cheapest guys each week and why they have a 1% chance of making the cut.
A balanced lineup in Daily Fantasy Golf is important so I want to offer you opportunities to construct lineups with sleepers at a variety of price points. As always, suggestions are appreciated to help improve the column and so we can better meet your DFS needs.
This week we hit the RBC Heritage played at the Harbour Town Golf Links. Harbour Town is a 7,101 yards, par 71 layout – the first course from the mind of Jack Nicklaus (with design by Pete Dye). The course is short, but still offers lots of challenges to golfers long and short. It is a tight course that tests players’ accuracy everywhere. And those who can’t stay on the course, will have to scramble their way out of the woods.
The weather looks alright though we could be in for some rain early Thursday. The wind also doesn’t look like it will be much of a factor. However, the weather can change here quickly and wind and rain can show up at almost any time. As always, continue to check up until lineup lock on Thursday.
Will MacKenzie is on the DraftKings’ list of available players, but has withdrawn.
I’m going to focus on three statistics this week with two of them pointing towards accuracy. On a tight course I want to see players who can “keep it clean.”
Greens in Regulation (GIR) – With narrow fairways leading to tiny greens, you want players who can get onto those greens as quickly as possible.
Driving Accuracy – With tight fairways I want golfers that can keep the ball in the fairways and out of the trees, bushes and pine needles that line the fairways throughout the course.
Par 4 Scoring – With 11 par 4s on the course, I’d like to see a player who can score on the par 4s as there won’t be as many opportunities on the par 5s to pick up strokes on the field.
These aren’t high end prices, but we’re looking for premium players at a discount rate.
Louis Oosthuizen ($9,700): Oosty tees it up for the first time here. So far on the season he’s either finished in the top 20 (six) or missed the cut (twice). He picked up a T19 at the Masters and sits 18th in GIR and 14th in par scoring. He has the tools to succeed even if he hasn’t played here previously.
The Soft Middle
Looking for some soft pricing in the lower tiers.
Pat Perez ($7,800): If history is a guide, Perez should finish T18 this year as he has the last two years. He’s been top 20 in his last three trips to Harbour Town and is coming in off back to back top 20s on Tour. He’s a great pick at a great price.
Brendon Todd ($7,000): Todd has appeared here twice and only made the cut once. His best finish is a T38. He missed the cut at the Masters, but had made five straight cuts with his lowest finish T30 in that time. However, his statistical profile makes him a perfect fit for the course. He sits 17th in driving accuracy, 33rd in strokes gained: putting (23rd in total putting), ninth in scrambling and a respectable 86th in par four scoring.
El Cheapo Guapo
They won’t cost you much, but they have real upside. And they sure are handsome.
Jason Bohn ($5,800): Bohn is 11th in driving accuracy, ninth in par 4 scoring and 32nd in GIR. He’s only five of nine in cuts made, but his profiles as player who should succeed at Harbour Town. He’s got two top 20s in his last three starts on Tour so he’s got sneaky written all over him.
Zac Blair ($4,700): Blair is one of the few professional athletes gives me hope that I too could be a professional athlete. He’s never teed it up here, but he’s got a profile to make it work He currently stands 27th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained: putting, 66th in proximity to the hole and 11th in scrambling. He has the largest gap in the field between odds to win and DraftKings’ salary at 29 places. He didn’t play well on the Texas swing, but did pick up a T21 at the Arnold Palmer.
Each week, I’ll throw one player out there who has one thing working for him. He’s probably got a less than 10% chance of making the cut (of course everyone makes the cut this week), but if you want gamble in larger GPPs you need a unicorn on your side.
Troy Merritt ($4,100): Merritt makes this list for one reason only – his putter. He’s lights out with the flat stick currently sitting fifth in strokes gained: putting. He put up a solo sixth at the Valspar so he can go low on courses where putting is king (or at least queen) and length isn’t required.